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	<title>Grand Strategy: The View from Oregon</title>
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		<title>Globalization as Political Idea and as Historical Idea</title>
		<link>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/27/globalization-as-political-idea-and-as-historical-idea/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jan 2012 06:00:36 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Futurism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[futurism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[industrial revolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[political economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[100YSS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[globalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[political idea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[historical idea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industrialization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[existence precedes essence]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Friday In yesterday&#8217;s Addendum on Neo-Agriculturalism I made a distinction between political ideas (with which, to use Sartre&#8217;s formulation, essence precedes existence) and historical ideas (with which existence precedes essence). Political ideas are formulated as ideas and are packaged and promoted as ideologies to be politically implemented. Historical ideas are driving forces of historical change [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=geopolicraticus.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4472138&amp;post=10655&amp;subd=geopolicraticus&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:14pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Friday </strong></span></p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/map-with-saling-ships.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/map-with-saling-ships.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="map with saling ships"   class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10657" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>n yesterday&#8217;s <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/26/addendum-on-neo-agriculturalism/" title="Addendum on Neo-Agriculturalism"><strong>Addendum on Neo-Agriculturalism</strong></a> I made a distinction between political ideas (with which, to use Sartre&#8217;s formulation, <em>essence precedes existence</em>) and historical ideas (with which <em>existence precedes essence</em>). Political ideas are formulated as ideas and are packaged and promoted as ideologies to be politically implemented. Historical ideas are driving forces of historical change that are only recognized and explicitly formulated as ideas <em>ex post facto</em>. At least, that was my general idea, though I recognize that a more subtle and sophisticated account is necessary that will take account of shadings of each into the other, and acknowledging all manner of exceptions. But I start out (being the theoretician of history that I am) in the abstract, with the idea of the distinction to be further elaborated in the light of evidence and experience. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>A</strong>lso in yesterday&#8217;s post I suggested that this distinction between political and historical ideas can be applied to <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/14/addendum-on-marxist-eschatology/" title="Addendum on Marxist Eschatology"><strong>communism</strong></a>, <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/06/07/addendum-on-extraterrestrialization/" title="Addendum on Extraterrestrialization"><strong>extraterrestrialization</strong></a>, <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/12/20/pastoralization/" title="Pastoralization"><strong>pastoralization</strong></a>, <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/12/21/three-futures/" title="Three Futures"><strong>singularization</strong></a>, and <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/16/another-future-the-new-agriculturalism/" title="Another Future: The New Agriculturalism"><strong>neo-agriculturalism</strong></a>. Thinking about this further as I was drifting off to sleep last night (actually, this morning as I was drifting off to sleep after staying awake all night, as is my habit) I realized that this distinction can shed some light on the diverse ways that the term &#8220;globalization&#8221; is used. In short, globalization can be a political idea or an historical idea.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong> have primarily used &#8220;globalization&#8221; as an historical idea. I have argued from many different perspectives and in regard to different sets of facts and details, that globalization is nothing other than the unfolding of the Industrial Revolution in those parts of the world where the Industrial Revolution had not yet transformed the life of the people, many of whom until recently, and many of whom still today, live in an essentially agricultural civilization and according to the institutions of agricultural civilization. While is the true that industrialization is sometimes consciously pursued as a political policy (though the earliest appearances of industrialization was completely innocent of any design), politicized industrialization is almost always a failure. Or, the least we can say is that politicized industrialization usually results in unintended consequences outrunning intended consequences. Industrialization happens when it happens when a people is historically prepared to make the transition from agricultural civilization to industrialized civilization. This is not a policy that has been implemented, but a response both to internal social pressures and external influences.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>n this sense of globalization as the industrialization of the global economies and all the peoples of the world, globalization is not and cannot be planned, is not the result of a policy, and in fact almost any attempt to implement globalization is likely to be counter-productive and result in the antithesis of the intended result (with the same dreary inevitability that utopian dreams issue in dystopian nightmares).  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>H</strong>owever, this is not the only sense in which &#8220;globalization&#8221; is used, and in fact I suspect that &#8220;globalization&#8221; is invoked more often in the popular media as a name for a political idea, not an historical idea. Globalization as a political idea is globalization consciously and intentionally pursued as a matter of policy. It is this sense of globalization that is protested in the streets, found wanting in a thousand newspaper editorials, and occasionally touted by think tanks. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>C</strong>onsidering the distinction between political ideas and historical ideas in relation to globalization, I was reminded of something I wrote a few months back in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2011/10/01/100-year-starship-study-symposium-day-2/"><strong>100 Year Starship Study Symposium Day 2</strong></a>: </span></p>
<p style="padding-left:30px;"><span style="color:#006600;font-size:11pt;font-family:Garamond;">If you hold that history can be accurately predicted (at least <em>reasonably</em> accurately) a very different conception of the scope of human moral action must be accepted as compared to a conception of history that assumes (as I do) what we are mostly <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2009/02/16/blindsided-by-history/"><strong>blindsided by history</strong></a>. </span></p>
<p style="padding-left:30px;"><span style="color:#006600;font-size:11pt;font-family:Garamond;">A conception of history dominated by the idea that things mostly <em>happen</em> to us that we cannot prevent (and mostly can&#8217;t change) is what I have previously called the <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/07/24/revolution-and-human-agency/"><strong>cataclysmic conception of history</strong></a>. The antithetical position is that in which the future can be predicted because agents are able to realize their projects. This is different in a subtle and an important way from either fatalism or determinism since this conception of predictability assumes human agency. This is what I have elsewhere called <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/07/22/three-conceptions-of-history/"><strong>the political conception of history</strong></a>. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>hat I have observed here in relation to futurist prediction holds also in the case of commentary on current events: if one supposes that everything, or almost everything, happens according to a grand design, then it follows that someone or some institution is responsible for current events. Therefore there is someone to blame.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>O</strong>f course, the world is more complicated and subtle than this, but we only need acknowledge one exception to an unrealistically picayune political conception of history in order to provide a counter-example that demonstrates not all things happen according to a grand design. Any sophisticated political conception of history will recognize that some things happen according to plan, other things just happen and are not part of any plan, while the vast majority of human action is an attempt, only partly successful, to steer the things that happen into courses preferred by conscious agents. If, then, this is the sophisticated political conception of history, what I just called the &#8220;unrealistically picayune political conception of history&#8221; may be understood as the vulgar political conception of history (analogous to &#8220;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_determinism" target="_blank"><strong>vulgar Marxism</strong></a>.&#8221; Vulgar politicism is political determinism.    </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>his analysis in turn suggests a distinction between vulgar catastrophism, which maintains dogmatically that everything &#8220;merely happens,&#8221; that chance and accident rules the world without exception, and that there is no rhyme or reason, no planning or design whatsoever, in the world. From this it follows that human agency is illusory. A sophisticated catastrophism would recognize that things largely happen out of our control, but that we do possess authentic agency and are sometimes able to affect historical outcomes &#8212; <em>sometimes</em>, but not always or dependably or inevitably. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>n so far as globalization is global industrialization, it is and has been <em>happening</em> to the world and began as a completely unplanned development. Since the advent of industrialization, its global extrapolation has mostly followed from the same principles as its unplanned beginnings, but has occasionally been pursued as a matter of policy. On the whole, the industrialization of the world&#8217;s economy today is a development that proceeds apace, and which we can <em>sometimes</em> (although not always) influence in small and subtle ways even while the main contours are beyond direct control. Thus globalization begins as a purely historical idea, and as it develops gradually takes on some features of a political idea. This pattern of development, too, is probably repeated in regard to other historical phenomena. </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
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<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
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<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
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		<title>Addendum on Neo-Agriculturalism</title>
		<link>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/26/addendum-on-neo-agriculturalism/</link>
		<comments>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/26/addendum-on-neo-agriculturalism/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 06:00:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>geopolicraticus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Futurism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intellectual History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social semiotics and signs of the times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[back-to-the-land]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cenobitic monasticism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[commune]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[communism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fukuyama]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Thursday In my recent post on neo-agriculturalism I mentioned the back-to-the-land movement that was especially prevalent in the late 1960s and early 1970s. Often the back-to-the-land movement was undertaken (when it was in fact undertaken) as a family affair. In its more radical and ideologically-motivated forms, however, the back-to-the-land movement involved the founding of communes. [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=geopolicraticus.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4472138&amp;post=10590&amp;subd=geopolicraticus&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:14pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Thursday </strong></span></p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brook_Farm"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/brook-farm-engraving.jpg?w=460&#038;h=317" alt="" title="Brook-Farm-engraving" width="460" height="317" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10653" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>n my recent post on <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/16/another-future-the-new-agriculturalism/" title="Another Future: The New Agriculturalism"><strong>neo-agriculturalism</strong></a> I mentioned the back-to-the-land movement that was especially prevalent in the late 1960s and early 1970s. Often the back-to-the-land movement was undertaken (<em>when</em> it was in fact undertaken) as a family affair. In its more radical and ideologically-motivated forms, however, the back-to-the-land movement involved the founding of communes.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>C</strong>ommunes are a venerable American tradition. In the nineteenth century there were several American experiments with communes &#8212; proving the durability of the &#8220;back-to-the-land&#8221; movement &#8212; the most famous of which was the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brook_Farm" target="_blank"><strong>Brook Farm</strong></a>. Brook Farm became famous not least because Nathaniel Hawthorne lived there for a time and based his novel <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Blithedale_Romance" target="_blank"><em><strong>The Blithedale Romance</strong></em></a> on his experiences there.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>A</strong> number of utopian currents fed into the nineteenth century vogue for communes, so they were probably doomed from the start. Take a little socialism, mix in Fourierism and some New England transcendentalism, liberally season with naïveté and youthful ideals, and you get a nineteenth century American commune. Since most of these short-lived institutions were founded by intellectuals with more experience of books and writing than of farming and animal husbandry, the stories that come out of these noble social experiments often sounds like a frighteningly close anticipation of Orwell&#8217;s <em><strong>Animal Farm</strong></em>, where one or a few members of the community (like the workhorse in Orwell&#8217;s fictional account) take on the actual burden of engaging in the unpleasant but necessary labor that makes life possible, while the rest shut themselves in their cottages to read and write.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>O</strong>ne thing that can be said for the nineteenth century communes is that these visionaries and idealists actually tried to put their visions and ideals into practice. They not only talked the talk, they also tried to walk the walk &#8212; at least for a time. Which brings me to my theme: while there are a few experiments in communal living today, relative to the size of the global population these experiments are quite rare. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>F</strong>or those on the political left who favor cooperativism over individualism (the tension between which two I recently discussed in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/14/addendum-on-marxist-eschatology/" title="Addendum on Marxist Eschatology"><strong>Addendum on Marxist Eschatology</strong></a>), and for those who have strongly advocated for communal living and cooperativist ideals &#8212; whether on the basis of a social philosophy or a particular understanding of economics &#8212; the establishment of a commune provides the possibility of a concrete experiment in communal living. And almost all of these have been failures. I find this to be highly significant, and the absence <em>both</em> of voluntary communism <em>and</em> discussion of the failure of communes to be also very significant. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>F</strong>or quite some time I have been meaning to write about the absence of voluntary communism and voluntary communes, which is, sociological speaking, very interesting. Yes, I know there are a few communes that are functioning, and there are long-term experiments in communal living such as the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kibbutz" target="_blank"><strong>Kibbutz</strong></a> movement in Israel, but these amount to little when compared to what might have been&#8230; or what might yet be. If one really believes that a communal way of life is a good thing, or that the economics of communal living are superior to the economics of anarchic, unplanned and individualist capitalism, then one is free to make common cause with others of similar beliefs and to create a little utopia of one&#8217;s own &#8212; or rather of the community doing so together, in a spirit of mutual cooperation and shared sacrifice &#8212; even in the midst of capitalism.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>n the twentieth century &#8212; so different from the experience of the nineteenth century &#8212; it became the tradition not to voluntarily establish communes, but to attempt to create communal living arrangements by threat of force and military coercion. This was the fundamental idea of what I have called <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2011/01/22/the-stalin-doctrine/"><strong>The Stalin Doctrine</strong></a>, which Stalin himself formulated as: &#8220;Everyone imposes his own system as far as his army can reach. It cannot be otherwise. If now there is not a communist government in Paris, the cause of this is Russia has no army that can reach Paris in 1945.&#8221; This is the paradigm of <em>non-voluntary communism</em>.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>hese twentieth century &#8220;experiments&#8221; &#8212; which we might call &#8220;socialism under duress&#8221; &#8212; were enormous, catastrophic failures. We must not allow the short-sightedness of contemporary institutions or the nostalgia of memory to attempt to paper over the complete and utter failure of large-scale collectivism. The nation-states that attempted to put collectivism into practice, whether by a complete attempt at communism or a more gradual process of the nationalization of industry and expanding the social welfare state, are still suffering from the effects of this, and will continue to suffer for many decades, if not centuries. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>hat then of small-scale collectivism? Why should not those who are alive today, who believe strongly in collectivist ideals and who campaign and protest for these ideals, when there are precious few large-scale social experiments under way, get together and try socialism on a voluntary basis, without barbed wire and without armed guards in watchtowers forcing the residents of a presumptively communal society to remain against their will? Why not demonstrate to the world entire that collectivism is not dependent upon <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2011/01/22/the-stalin-doctrine/"><strong>The Stalin Doctrine</strong></a> and that a social system need not have an army at its command in order to succeed?   </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>P</strong>lease don&#8217;t try to tell me that it can&#8217;t work. We know that one of the few Western institutions that functioned during the Middle Ages was that of cenobitic monasticism, which were isolated and nearly closed communities that not only survived, but ultimately thrived in the lawless conditions of medieval Europe. In fact, medieval monastic communities were so successful that they eventually became multi-national corporations that held enormous properties and governed some of the largest industries of the late middle ages. This was why Henry VIII dissolved them and expropriated their properties (and the revenues from these properties) for the crown.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>P</strong>lease don&#8217;t try to tell me that communal and cooperativist living must be global or the system simply won&#8217;t work, because the same cenobitic monastic communities just mentioned were almost always isolated islands of communal living. And, again, please don&#8217;t try to tell met that the initial capital for such an experiment is lacking, because there are quite a few wealthy individuals with collectivist sentiments who could easily sponsor a few hundred acres and a few dozen buildings as the seed for a contemporary voluntary commune. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>hat is lacking today is not the <em>means</em> or the <em>opportunity</em> to engage in voluntary collectivist living, but the <em>will</em>. The fact of the matter is that individualism has become what Fukuyama has called, &#8220;a systematic idea of political and social justice&#8221; much more so than the idea of liberal democracy, and this is because individualism is the practical implementation of what Fukuyama has called &#8220;<a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/01/12/the_drive_for_dignity" target="_blank"><strong>The Drive for Dignity</strong></a>.&#8221; People today rarely if ever advocate individualism as a political philosophy &#8212; it <em>sounds</em> selfish when expressed explicitly &#8212; but they don&#8217;t <em>need</em> to advocate for individualism when then live its doctrines 24/7.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>hether in the heyday of non-voluntary communism during the twentieth century, or those who protest today for collectivist ideals, communism is always seems to be something for <em>other people</em>. Just as the Kim dynasty has lived in personal luxury while the people of North Korea starve, or <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abimael_Guzm%C3%A1n" target="_blank"><strong>Presidente Gonzalo</strong></a> lived in an upscale Lima apartment while directing the Maoist insurgency in Peru, or the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nomenklatura" target="_blank"><strong>Nomenklatura</strong></a> enjoyed the privileges of the elite under the Soviet Union, or the <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/11/30/cronyism-with-chinese-characteristics/" target="_blank"><strong>Princelings (children of communist party leaders) in China</strong></a> use their connections to become wealthy, those with presumably the greatest stake in collectivist living never want to live collectively themselves.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>t is important to point out that when we speak of voluntary or non-voluntary communism we talking about a social arrangement that can be chosen or rejected. In the sense in which Marx discussed communism, and the sense in which I have recently written about communism in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/13/marxist-eschatology/" title="Marxist Eschatology"><strong>Marxist Eschatology</strong></a> and <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/14/addendum-on-marxist-eschatology/" title="Addendum on Marxist Eschatology"><strong>Addendum on Marxist Eschatology</strong></a>, communism is an historical force that is larger than the individual, and <em>not</em> something that can be chosen or rejected. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>hus we are talking about two fundamentally different things here: </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>1.</strong> <em>communism as a political idea</em>, which as such behaves according to the presuppositions of political society, being chosen by individuals or imposed by force, and&#8230; </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>2.</strong> <em>communism as an historical idea</em>, which as such is a category of historical understanding whereby we interpret and understand the large-scale movements and patterns of human society </span></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he distinction is a subtle one, because a political idea often emerges from an historical idea implicit within a given political milieu, while an historical idea will often be used to analyze political ideas. But the difference, while subtle, is important, because the two kinds of ideas are opposed as contraries: with a political idea, essence precedes existence, while with an historical idea, existence precedes essence.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>e should expect to find that the other <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/12/21/three-futures/" title="Three Futures"><strong>possible futures</strong></a> that I have discussed alongside communism &#8212; extraterrestrialization, pastoralization, singularization, and now also neo-agriculturalism &#8212; will be expressed as both political ideas and historical ideas. And, in fact, when we pause to think it over, we do find that there are those thinking of political terms who want to foster the creation of a society that embodies these historical movements, while there are others thinking in historical terms of these possibilities as ideas already present at history and only discovered upon analysis.    </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/jnnielsen/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/signature.jpg?w=300&#038;h=78" alt="signature" width="300" height="78" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
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<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"> </span></p>
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		<title>Ica to Lima</title>
		<link>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/24/ica-to-lima/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 06:00:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>geopolicraticus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Travel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[political economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peru]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lima]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[panamericana]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ica]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democratization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rule of law]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anatole France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[highway]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[transportation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[equality of opportunity]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Tuesday Even a brief look at Peru reveals a society, which though burdened by a great disparity of rich and poor as is commonplace throughout Latin America, nevertheless shows clear signs of increasingly distributed prosperity &#8212; it would not be going too far to call this process of increasingly distributed prosperity economic democratization. The highways [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=geopolicraticus.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4472138&amp;post=10632&amp;subd=geopolicraticus&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:14pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Tuesday </strong></span></p>
<hr />
<div id="attachment_10643" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 377px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24a.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24a.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan24a"   class="size-full wp-image-10643" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">A sign pointing the way to Lima along the Panamericana. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>E</strong>ven a brief look at Peru reveals a society, which though burdened by a great disparity of rich and poor as is commonplace throughout Latin America, nevertheless shows clear signs of increasingly distributed prosperity &#8212; it would not be going too far to call this process of increasingly distributed prosperity <em>economic democratization</em>.  </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10644" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 360px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24f.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24f.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan24f"   class="size-full wp-image-10644" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">The day&#039;s drive began at the wonderful El Carmelo Hotel and Hacienda in Ica, a former pisco distillery. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he highways in Peru are my Exhibit &#8220;A&#8221; for economic democratization &#8212; the roads themselves are well maintained and well traveled, but more importantly there is the dependable police presence and the regular weigh stations along the Panamericana, which are signs of the kind of rule of law that touches on <em>the ordinary business of life</em> (in Marshall&#8217;s famous phrase), i.e., commerce. It must be emphasized that this manifestation of the rule of law is the antithesis of that sense of the law mordantly expressed by Anatole France: <em>&#8220;The law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich as well as the poor to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread.&#8221;</em>  </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10645" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 399px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24e.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24e.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan24e"   class="size-full wp-image-10645" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">The Peruvian desert as seen from the Panamericana -- a photograph cannot do it justice, nor communicate the surprise and passing a gray and barren dune and suddenly coming upon a green and fertile valley. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>R</strong>ule of law can be an excuse for the powerful to exploit the powerless (thus exemplifying <strong>the infrastructure/superstructure dichotomy</strong>), as in the Anatole France quote, but rule of law at its best provides a level playing field in which all enjoy equality of opportunity, not equality of exploitation. Also regularly visible along the Panamericana are billboards advertising consumer goods of every familiar kind, which suggests that consumers have disposable income and a choice in how to spend it. It may sound perverse to praise the emergence of a consumerist economy as a virtue, but in comparison to the quasi-feudal economy that preceded it, this represents remarkable progress.  </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10647" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 399px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24d.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24d.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan24d"   class="size-full wp-image-10647" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Panamericana: Pacific Ocean on the left, sand dunes of the desert on the right. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>M</strong>y Exhibit &#8220;B&#8221; for economic democratization in Peru is the city of Ica. Ica is not well known to tourists, and I did not see another tourist while I was there. If you stay on the Panamericana and breezed through Ica it might strike you as just another dusty town in the desert, and not much different from Nazca. But Nazca, which appears to live almost exclusively off the tourist trade, is quite small, and really appears to be a dusty desert town, whose streets are filled with watering holes for tourists. In Ica, on the other hand, where tourists are not in evidence, the downtown core (some distance from the unattractive aspect presented on the Panamericana) is busy and bustling with locals patronizing all manner of local businesses. While many of the historical buildings in Ica have not been repaired since the last severe earthquake, some traditional facades and arcades are filled with small businesses, attractively placing contemporary commerce in a traditional setting. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>M</strong>y anecdotal account of the Peruvian economy would be no surprise to those who follow statistics and know that Peru&#8217;s economy has been growing steadily for many years. When I was last in Peru, in 1994, it had not yet been long that &#8220;Presidente Gonzalo&#8221; (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abimael_Guzm%C3%A1n" target="_blank"><strong>Manuel Rubén Abimael Guzmán Reynoso</strong></a>) had been captured and <em>Sendero Luminoso</em> demoted from an existential threat to the state to being an occasionally deadly irritant. Fujimori was still in power at that time, but since then several popularly elected presidents have both served their terms in office and have then peacefully handed their power of that office to their successors. There were some worries in the business community when Ollanta Humala was elected, on account of things he said in the past and his political friendships with leftist leaders, but his term so far has brought no destabilizing changes or radical initiatives and the Financial Times has had good things to say about him.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>A</strong>ll of this can be gotten from statistics and newspapers; what cannot be gotten from statistics and newspapers is the temper of the people and tone of life. Well, in Peruvian cities the tone of life is <em>loud</em>. Everyone in traffic honks all the time. If you go straight, people honk; if you go right, people honk; if you go left, people honk. Speed up, honk; slow down, honk; stop, honk. You get the idea. But beyond this nerve-wracking clamor, people were spontaneously helpful. Several times, without being asked and without expecting a tip, bystanders helped me to pull out of a tight spot, to maneuver in traffic, and get where I was going when I was not at all certain as to how to do this. There are many cities in the US where you would not encounter this.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>n fact, not long ago (in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.tumblr.com/post/13672436568/whats-with-the-attitude" target="_blank"><strong>What&#8217;s with the attitude?</strong></a>) I wrote about the increasing rudeness of traffic confrontations in Portland. Now, I cannot <em>imagine</em> Peruvian drivers lining up neatly as drivers sometimes do in Portland when there is an obvious traffic queue due to construction or an accident, but I certainly <em>can</em> imagine Peruvian drivers demonstrating spontaneous acts of generosity in the midst of a non-queue. Neither social custom is superior; each simply reveals a distinct manner of acknowledging the humanity of The Other, and this is necessary to a healthy society. Elsewhere I have called this <a href="http://geopolicraticus.tumblr.com/post/12355972567/social-gift-exchange" target="_blank"><strong>Social Gift Exchange</strong></a>.  </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10650" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 399px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24g.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24g.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan24g"   class="size-full wp-image-10650" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">I almost forgot... there is an oasis very near Ica, set in the midst of towering dunes of sand. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>P</strong>erhaps you think that I have gone on rather too long about in too great detail about roads and traffic, and that this reveals more about myself than about Peru. Perhaps so. Perhaps not. But I will defend my discussion on objective grounds. The model of development that prevails in the Western Hemisphere is predicated upon <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intermodal_freight_transport" target="_blank">intermodal transport</a> disproportionately relying on truck transport across highways. Trains are important, but trains will never have the tradition or the economic centrality that they have had in the Old World. In the New World, the truck and the highway are the economic ties that bind. </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10648" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 302px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24c.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24c.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan24c"   class="size-full wp-image-10648" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">More than a little tired on the plane ride back to Oregon. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>E</strong>lsewhere I have defined (what I call) a Stage <strong>1</strong> civilization as a civilization in which transportation has been globalized so that persons, goods, and services move throughout the world without respect to the geographical obstacles that defined the character of Stage <strong>0</strong> civilizations &#8212; when the human diaspora resulted in isolated pockets of civilization, each ignorant of the other. Today, a functioning transportation infrastructure is the price for participating fully &#8212; not merely peripherally &#8212; in global industrial-technological civilization.  </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<div id="attachment_10649" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 399px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24b.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan24b.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan24b"   class="size-full wp-image-10649" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">I had some great views of the inter-mountain west on the flight home. </p></div>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><em>While I am posting this a couple of days after the fact, this entire account was written in longhand on the day here described.</em>  </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/jnnielsen/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/signature.jpg?w=300&#038;h=78" alt="signature" width="300" height="78" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.tumblr.com/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/grand-strategy-annex-logo-small.png?w=240&#038;h=96" alt="Grand Strategy Annex" width="240" height="96" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"> </span></p>
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		<title>Nazca to Ica</title>
		<link>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/nazca-to-ica/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jan 2012 06:00:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>geopolicraticus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Travel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ancient civilizations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[archaeology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[constructive]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[constructivism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lines of nazca]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nazca]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[non-constructive]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[non-constructivism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Palpa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[panamericana]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peru]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[travel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[urban planning]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Monday A short distance north of Nazca, along the Panamericana, and situated between the designs of the &#8220;hands&#8221; (&#8220;manos&#8220;) and the &#8220;tree&#8221; (&#8220;arbol&#8220;), there is a tower (the &#8220;Torre Mirador&#8221;) that can be climbed, probably about 40 or 50 feet in height, in order to view some part of the lines of Nazca without flying [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=geopolicraticus.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4472138&amp;post=10631&amp;subd=geopolicraticus&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:14pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Monday </strong></span></p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/aero-palcazu-back.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/aero-palcazu-back.jpg?w=460&#038;h=621" alt="" title="Aero Palcazu back" width="460" height="621" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10635" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>A</strong> short distance north of Nazca, along the Panamericana, and situated between the designs of the &#8220;hands&#8221; (&#8220;<em>manos</em>&#8220;) and the &#8220;tree&#8221; (&#8220;<em>arbol</em>&#8220;), there is a tower (the &#8220;Torre Mirador&#8221;) that can be climbed, probably about 40 or 50 feet in height, in order to view some part of the lines of Nazca without flying over them. This close-up view of the lines clearly reveals the construction methods that I quoted yesterday (in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/22/lines-in-the-desert/" title="Lines in the Desert"><strong>Lines in the Desert</strong></a>) from Mason&#8217;s <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Ancient-Civilizations-Peru-MASON-Alden/dp/B0000CJRG8/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1327556111&amp;sr=8-2" target="_blank"><em>The Ancient Civilizations of Peru</em></a> &#8212; stones have been removed from within geometrically defined areas and the removed stones have been piled at the edges of the designs. The piled stones not only represent the space cleared, but the piles themselves serve to make the demarcation between cleared and non-cleared areas all the more obvious, making the distinction more visually striking. </span></p>
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/nazca-airport-tax.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/nazca-airport-tax.jpg?w=460&#038;h=760" alt="" title="Nazca airport tax" width="460" height="760" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10636" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>his construction technique was also used at nearby Palpa, and continues to be effective in the present day, as driving along the Panamericana (once outside the archaeologically preserved area) one sees a variety of messages spelled out in the desert, from the initials and names of individuals to fairly elaborate advertisements for small roadside stores.  </span></p>
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/torre-mirador-front.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/torre-mirador-front.jpg?w=460&#038;h=719" alt="" title="torre mirador front" width="460" height="719" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10637" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>n my naïveté I though that any intrepid visitor of sufficient curiosity might walk out into the desert and and look at the construction of the lines for themselves, but the desert has been fenced off along the Panamericana to prevent further damage to the lines, and once made aware of the threat it becomes immediately obvious how damaged many of the lines and figures are, which accounts for some of the difficulty in seeing some of the patterns from the air. <em>Some</em> &#8212; but not all.  </span></p>
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/torre-mirador-back.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/torre-mirador-back.jpg?w=460&#038;h=298" alt="" title="torre mirador back" width="460" height="298" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10638" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>M</strong>uch is revealed by a close inspection (as one can gain from the tower along the Panamericana) that is lost in a distant view from the air, just as much is revealed in a distant inspection from the air that is close in the close-up view from near the ground. This is a perfect concrete illustration of what I was recently writing about in relation to the distinction between constructive and non-constructive thought (in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.tumblr.com/post/15009789108/p-or-not-p" target="_blank"><strong>P or not-P</strong></a>). In this post (on my other blog) I employed an image taken from Alain Connes to illustrate the constructive/non-constructive distinction such that the constructive perspective is like that of a mountain climber while the non-constructive perspective is like that of a visitor who flies over the summit of a mountain laboriously climbed by the other.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>A</strong>ny thorough investigation will want to make use of both perspectives in order to obtain the most comprehensive perspective possible &#8212; even though each perspective has its blind spots and its shadows that compromise our perspective on the whole. Indeed, it is precisely because each perspective incorporates deficits specific to the perspective that one will want to supplement any one perspective without another perspective with a different set of specific deficits. Between two or more fundamentally different perspectives on any one state-of-affairs there is the possibility of constructing the comprehensive conception that is excluded by any one perspective in isolation. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he two perspectives offered on the Nazca lines by the tower and an airplane flyover also reminded me of a point that I imperfectly attempted to make in my post on <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2011/03/14/epistemic-orders-of-magnitude/" title="Epistemic Orders of Magnitude"><strong>Epistemic Orders of Magnitude</strong></a>, in which I employed aerial photographs of cities in order to demonstrate the similar structures of cities transformed in the imagine of industrial-technological civilization. This similarity in structure may be masked by one&#8217;s experience of an urban area from the perspective of passing through the built environment on a human scale &#8212; i.e., simply walking through a city, which is how most people experience an urban area. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>N</strong>ow, in light of what I have subsequently written about constructivism, I might say that our experience of a built environment is intrinsically constructive, except for that of the urban planner or urban designer, who must see (or attempt to see) things whole. However, the urban planner must also inform his or her work with the street-level &#8220;constructive&#8221; perspective or the planning made exclusively from a top-down perspective is likely to be a failure. Almost all of the most spectacular failures in urban design have come about from an attempt to impose, from the top down, a certain vision and a certain order which may be at odds with the organically emergent order that rises from the bottom up.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>his reflection gives us yet another perspective on utopianism, which I have many times tried to characterize in my attempts to show the <em>near</em> (not absolute) historical inevitability of utopian schemes transforming themselves upon their attempted implementation into dystopian nightmares &#8212; the utopian planner attempts to design from a purely non-constructive perspective without the benefit of a constructive perspective. This dooms the utopian plans to inevitable blindspots, shadows, and deficits. The oversights of a single perspective then, in the fullness of time, create the conditions for <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2011/06/09/complex-systems-and-complex-failure/" title="Complex Systems and Complex Failure"><strong>cascading catastrophic failure</strong></a>.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>H</strong>istorically speaking, it is not difficult to see how this comes about. After the astonishing planned cities of early antiquity, many from prehistoric societies that have left us little record except for their admirably regular and disciplined town plans, Europeans turned to a piecemeal, organic approach to urbanism. Once this approach was rapidly outgrown when cities began their burgeoning growth with the advent of the Industrial Revolution, it was a natural response on the part of <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2008/12/12/rational-reconstruction-of-cities/" title="The Rational Reconstruction of Cities"><strong>Haussman-esque planners</strong></a> to view organic urbanism as a &#8220;failure&#8221; that necessitated replacement by another model that envisioned the already-built environment as a <em>tabula rasa</em> to be re-built according to rational standards. Cities henceforth were to be wholly planned to address to inadequacies of the medieval pattern of non-planning, which could not cope with cities with populations that now numbered in the millions.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong> have observed elsewhere (in my <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Political-Economy-Globalization-Hundred-Theses/dp/141206791X/ref=pd_ybh_18?pf_rd_p=280800601&amp;pf_rd_s=center-2&amp;pf_rd_t=1501&amp;pf_rd_i=ybh&amp;pf_rd_m=ATVPDKIKX0DER&amp;pf_rd_r=0E52AJ6W6D0JDJEEGDPB" target="_blank"><strong><em>Political Economy of Globalization</em></strong></a>) that many ancient prehistoric societies were essentially utopian constructions over which a god-king presided as a living god, present in the flesh among his people, and indeed some of the most striking examples of ancient town planning date from societies  that exhibited (or seem to have exhibited) this now-vanished form of order. For only where a god-king is openly acknowledged as such can a social order based upon living and present divinity <em>within</em> the said social order be possible.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>N</strong>azca, however, does not seem to have been based on this social plan of a divinely-sanctioned social order which can bring utopian (and therefore likely non-constructive, top-down) planning into actual practice because of the physical presence of the god in the midst of his people. The book that I cited yesterday, <em>The Ancient Civilizations of Peru</em> by J. Alden Mason, has this to say of Nazca society:    </span></p>
<p style="padding-left:30px;"><span style="color:#993300;font-size:11pt;font-family:Garamond;">&#8220;&#8230;the general picture seems to be one of a sedentary democratic people without marked class distinctions or authoritarianism, possibly without an established religion. There is less difference in the &#8216;richness&#8217; or poverty of the graves, and women seem to be on an equality with men in this respect. The apparent absence of great public works, of extensive engineering features, and of temple pyramids implies a lack of authoritarian leadership. Instead, the leisure time of the people seems to have been spent in individual production, especially in the making of quantities of perfect, exquisite textiles and pottery vessels. This seems to indicate a strong cult of ancestor-worship. Cloths on which an incredible amount of labor was spent were made especially for funerary offerings and interred with the dead. The orientation seems to have been towards individualized religion rather than towards community participation, dictation, coercion, and aggression.&#8221; </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Garamond;">J. Alden Mason, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Ancient-Civilizations-Peru-MASON-Alden/dp/B0000CJRG8/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1327556111&amp;sr=8-2" target="_blank"><em>The Ancient Civilizations of Peru</em></a>, Penguin Books, 1968, p. 85 </span></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>S</strong>uch egalitarian societies focused on the satisfaction of consumer demands were rare in the ancient world, but we should not be surprised that it was an egalitarian society, organized constructively from the bottom up, that produced the astonishing <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/22/lines-in-the-desert/" title="Lines in the Desert">lines in the desert</a> of the Nazca. Without an aerial perspective, the making of these lines was a thoroughly constructivistic undertaking, not even counter-balanced by a non-constructive perspective, which has only been obtained long after the Nazca civilization has disappeared, leaving only traces of itself in the dessicated sands of the desert.   </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><em>While I am posting this a couple of days after the fact, this entire account was written in longhand on the day here described.</em>  </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/aero-palcazu-front.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/aero-palcazu-front.jpg?w=460&#038;h=625" alt="" title="Aero Palcazu front" width="460" height="625" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10639" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/jnnielsen/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/signature.jpg?w=300&#038;h=78" alt="signature" width="300" height="78" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
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<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"> </span></p>
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		<title>Lines in the Desert</title>
		<link>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/22/lines-in-the-desert/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 03:43:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>geopolicraticus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Travel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[atacama desert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[driest place in the world]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geoglyph]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[natural weathering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nazca]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nazca culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peru]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weathering processes]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Sunday The Humboldt current (also called the Peru current) circulates cold water from Antarctica along this section of the South American coast, and this current only turns back into the center of the Pacific at the equator. The combination of the cold Humboldt current and the Andes running close to the coast create a natural [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=geopolicraticus.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4472138&amp;post=10620&amp;subd=geopolicraticus&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:14pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Sunday </strong></span></p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Humboldt_Current"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/humboldt-current.gif?w=460&#038;h=350" alt="" title="humboldt current" width="460" height="350" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10621" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he Humboldt current (also called the Peru current) circulates cold water from Antarctica along this section of the South American coast, and this current only turns back into the center of the Pacific at the equator. The combination of the cold Humboldt current and the Andes running close to the coast create a natural air conditioner that has made the Atacama desert of Northern Chile the driest place in the world, and deserts of the Peruvian coast nearly as dessicated. But there seems to be just enough water hidden among the dry, gray hills around Nazca  to make life and a little bit of agriculture possible. I expected to see desert; I did not expect to see the occasional green valley between the otherwise barren hills.  </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10622" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 470px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22f.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22f.jpg?w=460&#038;h=344" alt="" title="12jan22f" width="460" height="344" class="size-full wp-image-10622" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">At the Nazca airport, where many small four- and six-passenger planes fly over the lines in the desert. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he most astonishing feature of Nazca, and that which has made it a tourist destination for the work entire (lots of European tourists are in evidence in Nazca, though relatively few from North America) is a feature of the unique climate, and this is the network of lines and figures drawn into the sand of the desert. The aridity of the climate ensures that weather is almost entirely unknown here, which means that a change to the surface of the desert is largely unaffected by the natural weathering processes present elsewhere. The early Nazca culture bequeathed a patrimony to the world and a steady income to their distant descendents by carving lines in the desert and otherwise altering the appearance of the desert in a systematic way. </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10624" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 470px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22b.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22b.jpg?w=460&#038;h=344" alt="" title="12jan22b" width="460" height="344" class="size-full wp-image-10624" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Some of the famous designs are surprisingly difficult to see from the air. &ldquo;The Whale&rdquo; is somewhere in this picture, but can&#039;t been picked out, although the geometrical patterns are clearly visible.  A lot of this has to do with light conditions and the hours of the day and season of the year that one flies over the lines. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>t is relatively easy to understand how the lines were made &#8212; push a stick in the sand and drag it some distance and the furrow of the plow brings a different color of sand to the surface. From an engineering stand point I was more interested in the large geometrically-defined spaces and long lines, which are a different color that the other parts of the desert, but which could not be made by the same simple method as the lines. <em>The Ancient Civilizations of Peru</em> by J. Alden Mason explains these spaces: </span></p>
<p style="padding-left:30px;"><span style="color:#993300;font-size:11pt;font-family:Garamond;">&#8220;The small stones that cover the surface probably contain iron, and the suns of many millennia have formed a dark patina on their upper faces. These stones were removed from certain areas by the ancient peoples and piled at the edges of these places, leaving designs in the lighter-colored sand and gravel below.&#8221; </span> (p. 88)</p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>his method is simplicity itself, and accords in this respect with the methods of ancient peoples in the construction of their geoglyphs. It is an irony of human history that the most lasting and durable works of human beings have been among those earliest works created by the simplest methods &#8212; geoglyphs, petroglyphs, and megaliths created by peoples some might well deny the status of being &#8220;civilized.&#8221; If the geoglyphs of Nazca or the cave paintings of France and Spain or the megaliths found around the world are not the work of civilized peoples, so much the worse for civilization. This constitutes <em>prima facie</em> evidence that that which is uniquely human and of enduring if not perennial value can be isolated apart from civilization.   </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10623" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 470px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22c.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22c.jpg?w=460&#038;h=324" alt="" title="12jan22c" width="460" height="324" class="size-full wp-image-10623" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">This waving figure is sometimes called the &ldquo;Astronauta.&rdquo;</p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>n my formative years the books by Erich von Däniken, and the films based on these books, were quite popular. I myself read the books and saw the films. I have to wonder now, many decades later, how many people in the industrialized world had heard of the lines of Nazca before his work. While there is a sense in which von Däniken can be credited for bringing some of the astonishing works of antiquity to wide attention, but one has to ask if it was all worth the price that was paid. There continues to be a popular culture industry is promoting such artifacts as the consequence of alien visitation, and in fact the first figure shown to us today, a friendly figure waving to the sky, is called the &ldquo;<em>Astronauta</em>&rdquo; &#8212; the astronaut. For this, von Däniken deserves the credit or the blame, as you prefer.   </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10625" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 399px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22d.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22d.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan22d"   class="size-full wp-image-10625" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">This was the best picture that I got of any of the Nazca lines, although the most obvious figure was the hummingbird. It is very difficult to get a good picture from the airplane without good photographic equipment. The kind of inexpensive digital camera with which I travel is nearly useless in the glare of the sun. Anyone wanting to get good pictures should take an SLR camera, or anthing that allows you to look through a viewfinder. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he most obvious geoglyph as seen from above is the highway &#8212; indeed, the Panamericana runs right through the center of the most famous lines and figures. One has to wonder if the road had been built today if some kind of detour around this unique-in-the-world archaeological site might have been considered. On the other hand, none of the actual figures seems to have been bisected, so that this industrial-age vandalism to a prehistoric site could have been worse. </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10626" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 399px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22a.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22a.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan22a"   class="size-full wp-image-10626" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Just as evident, if not more evident than the lines, are the dry riverbeds and tracks of ancient water flows. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>A</strong>fter the highway, the next most obvious feature as seen from above is an enormous dry riverbed. There are many traces of water flow that I guess to be ancient, but given the lack of weather in his desert, they might be from a few weeks or months ago. One suspects there are flash floods here, probably highly infrequently, but their traces are retained for the same reason that the geoglyphs are retained. Walking around Nazca today after the overflight of the lines, I walked over a bridge that crosses a dry riverbed. For someone from the Pacific Northwest, where there are no empty riverbeds and empty stream courses, it is an odd feeling.  </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10627" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 470px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22e.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan22e.jpg?w=460&#038;h=344" alt="" title="12jan22e" width="460" height="344" class="size-full wp-image-10627" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Coming in for a landing at the Nazca airport. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he lines of Nazca can be difficult to see, and many of the famous figures are difficult to make out, though the assemblage of the site on the whole is striking: the ground has be altered over a vast tract of land. On the one hand, the site is enormous, on the other hand, it is fairly well defined and confined to a definite area. No doubt experts can cite many examples further afield, and relics of the Nazca culture extend throughout the region, but that part of the desert that has been utterly transformed by the lines and figures of Nazca is as carefully grouped as if it were designed to be an archaeological park. </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;">I previously wrote about the Nazca culture in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2009/11/04/civilization-a-rope-or-a-broom/" target="_blank"><strong>Civilization: A Rope or a Broom?</strong></a> </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/jnnielsen/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/signature.jpg?w=300&#038;h=78" alt="signature" width="300" height="78" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.tumblr.com/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/grand-strategy-annex-logo-small.png?w=240&#038;h=96" alt="Grand Strategy Annex" width="240" height="96" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"> </span></p>
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		<title>Lima to Nazca</title>
		<link>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/lima-to-nazca/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Jan 2012 06:00:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>geopolicraticus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Travel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[driving]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[highways]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lima]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nazca]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peru]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Saturday Having seen Lima&#8217;s traffic in action for a couple of days I was hesitant to rent a car. Maybe it would be more honest to say that I was scared to attempt to drive in Lima, but I convinced myself that by renting in Miraflores I would would be on the far southern edge [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=geopolicraticus.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4472138&amp;post=10614&amp;subd=geopolicraticus&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:14pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Saturday </strong></span></p>
<hr />
<div id="attachment_10616" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 470px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan21a.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan21a.jpg?w=460&#038;h=344" alt="" title="12jan21a" width="460" height="344" class="size-full wp-image-10616" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">I tried to take a picture to do justice to the chaos of traffic in Lima, but ultimately you have to this level of craziness in action in order to fully appreciate it. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>H</strong>aving seen Lima&#8217;s traffic in action for a couple of days I was hesitant to rent a car. Maybe it would be more honest to say that I was scared to attempt to drive in Lima, but I convinced myself that by renting in Miraflores I would would be on the far southern edge of the city and would not have to go through the heart of downtown (or indeed anywhere near downtown) in order to find a major highway out of the city. For although I was impressed by the cleanliness of Lima&#8217;s downtown when I walked it yesterday, the taxi ride into downtown was something else again. My driver seemed to me more skilled than a Formula One driver in negotiating the moving obstacles of other vehicles in the chaos that is Lima traffic. In short, I was impressed, and didn&#8217;t see myself as equal to the task.  </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10617" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 407px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan21b.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan21b.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan21b"   class="size-full wp-image-10617" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">My feet bathed in the Peruvian Pacific. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>orking in my favor was the fact that it is Saturday, and traffic in Miraflores was noticeably less crazy than what I saw on the weekdays. There was some minor craziness in escaping the city (for example, I was very nearly involved in a collision), but once out of the city it was smooth sailing along the <em>autopista</em>. Also after leaving the city, the Panamericana runs along the ocean with the water in sight of the freeway, which makes for some dramatically beautiful views. I was reminded both of Oregon&#8217;s coastal highway 101 and the Panamericana futher south in Chile, where the highway also runs in parallel with the ocean. I stopped at one beach, took off my shoes, and walked into the surf. I feel robbed of an experience if I go the beach without getting my feet wet in the ocean. Although the ocean water here was in no sense &#8220;warm,&#8221; it was noticeably warmer than the waters of the Pacific that lap on the shores of Oregon.   </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10618" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 470px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan21c.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan21c.jpg?w=460&#038;h=344" alt="" title="12jan21c" width="460" height="344" class="size-full wp-image-10618" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Sunset on the Pacific from the Panamericana. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he highway from Lima to Chincha was in wonderful repair, and looked pretty new &#8212; it is a divided highway with two lanes running in each direction. It is easy to make good time on this stretch of road. The road narrows to one lane in each direction at Chincha and continues in this way to Nazca, although still in excellent repair &#8212; no potholes, visible lines painted on the road, a highway patrol car on the side of the road at regular intervals, emergency telephones, and reasonably good signage. Peru&#8217;s recent years of economic growth are here on display in visible infrastructure improvements, and the highway carries a steady stream of commerce in the form of truck traffic. From Ica to Nazca, however, the road involves many serpentine curves which slows down the traffic quite a bit, but that is due to the nature of the landscape and not the condition of the road. </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/jnnielsen/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/signature.jpg?w=300&#038;h=78" alt="signature" width="300" height="78" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.tumblr.com/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/grand-strategy-annex-logo-small.png?w=240&#038;h=96" alt="Grand Strategy Annex" width="240" height="96" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"> </span></p>
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		<title>City of Kings</title>
		<link>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/20/city-of-kings/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Jan 2012 06:00:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>geopolicraticus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Travel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[city of kings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lima]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peru]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Plaza Meyor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[travel]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Friday Lima is a labyrinth of five million &#8212; more or less a labyrinth; more or less five million. The traffic is chaotic, with streets crammed with taxis and minibuses, rarely moving but continuously honking their horns at each other. Thus the city is both visually and auditorially overwhelming. It is also surprisingly clean. What [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=geopolicraticus.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4472138&amp;post=10605&amp;subd=geopolicraticus&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:14pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Friday </strong></span></p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan20d.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan20d.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan20d"   class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10607" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>L</strong>ima is a labyrinth of five million &#8212; more or less a labyrinth; more or less five million. The traffic is chaotic, with streets crammed with taxis and minibuses, rarely moving but continuously honking their horns at each other. Thus the city is both visually and auditorially overwhelming. It is also surprisingly clean.  </span></p>
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan20a.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan20a.jpg?w=460&#038;h=291" alt="" title="12jan20a" width="460" height="291" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10608" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>hat I had heard about the historic center of Lima was not flattering, but it also wasn&#8217;t terribly justified in light of what I saw today. There are as many street sweeps here as in Sweden, and as a result the historical core is very well swept and very clean. The center was bustling with people, but it never felt dangerous &#8212; not even mildly so.  </span></p>
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan20c.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan20c.jpg?w=460&#038;h=377" alt="" title="12jan20c" width="460" height="377" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10609" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>L</strong>ima is also called the &#8220;City of Kings&#8221; &#8212; not because a succession of kings reined here (although the power of the Viceregent of Peru was probably king-like in many respects during the glory days of the Vice-Royalty of Peru, the largest and the richest of the Spanish political entities in the New World) but rather because the city was founded on Epiphany, i.e., the Feast of the Three Kings. Just earlier this month Lima celebrated its urban &#8220;birthday&#8221; on Epiphany.  </span></p>
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan20b.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan20b.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan20b"   class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10610" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>L</strong>ima deserves its &#8220;City of Kings&#8221; moniker not only because of its foundation on Epiphany, but also because of the monumentality of the historic center. Like a king, the center of Lima is larger than life. The <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plaza_Mayor,_Lima" target="_blank"><strong>Plaza Mayor</strong></a> is built to a grand and imposing scale, and the <a href="http://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plaza_San_Mart%C3%ADn_%28Lima%29" target="_blank"><strong>Plaza San Martin</strong></a> is scarcely less impressive. The only other city I have seen that can compare to Lima is this sense of enormity is Istanbul. </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/jnnielsen/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/signature.jpg?w=300&#038;h=78" alt="signature" width="300" height="78" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.tumblr.com/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/grand-strategy-annex-logo-small.png?w=240&#038;h=96" alt="Grand Strategy Annex" width="240" height="96" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"> </span></p>
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		<title>A Shift in Hemispheres</title>
		<link>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/19/a-shift-in-hemispheres/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jan 2012 06:00:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>geopolicraticus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Travel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lima]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[northern hemisphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peru]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[southern hemisphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[travel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[western hemisphere]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/?p=10597</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Thursday Since I last wrote I have experienced a dramatic change in hemispheres, going from the snow of rural Oregon, pictured above from just a few days ago, to the overcast heat and humidity of Lima, Peru. The contrast would have been even more striking had it been as sunny as I expected the southern [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=geopolicraticus.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4472138&amp;post=10597&amp;subd=geopolicraticus&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:14pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Thursday </strong></span></p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/me-2012-january.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/me-2012-january.jpg?w=460&#038;h=345" alt="" title="Me 2012 January" width="460" height="345" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10599" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>S</strong>ince I last wrote I have experienced a dramatic change in hemispheres, going from the snow of rural Oregon, pictured above from just a few days ago, to the overcast heat and humidity of Lima, Peru. The contrast would have been even more striking had it been as sunny as I expected the southern hemisphere to be in January, but it is still a dramatic hemispherical shift. There is a scene in Goethe&#8217;s Faust when Faust requests grapes (or some other fruit &#8212; I can&#8217;t precisely recall), and Mephistopheles disappears only to return momentarily with the grapes. Although the feat is magical, Faust does not ascribe it to magic, but furnishes the explanation to Faust that on the opposite side of the world it is summer even as it is winter in Faust&#8217;s Europe. This is how the man of the Northern Hemisphere views the exotic climes of the Southern Hemisphere.  </span></p>
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/jan19a.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/jan19a.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="Jan19a"   class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10600" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>E</strong>ven while taking leave of the Northern Hemisphere I have remained within the Western Hemisphere, and I am very pleased to be back in Peru, since it has been almost twenty years since I was last here. Peru is the <em>fons et origo</em> of civilization in the Western Hemisphere. Like Anatolia and Mesopotamia, the history of civilization runs <em>deep</em> here. The succession of peoples and cultures has left stratified layers in time, and this stratigraphy of history gives a definite shape to the past. </span></p>
<div id="attachment_10612" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 463px"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan19a.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/12jan19a.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="12jan19a"   class="size-full wp-image-10612" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">The lights of Lima after midnight as seen from my hotel window. </p></div>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>here has also been a succession of empires through the ages. When I was last in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/category/travel/ecuador-2009/"><strong>Ecuador</strong></a>, at the Hacienda San Agustin &#8212; which in its earlier iterations was an Inca outpost on the periphery of empire &#8212; the Ecuadorians spoke of the Peruvians as warlike and given to quarrel. I do not know if this is true, but I do know that when they spoke, they spoke with the knowing look of a neighbor on their faces. </span></p>
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/jan19b.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/jan19b.jpg?w=460&#038;h=344" alt="" title="Jan19b" width="460" height="344" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10601" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>e should not be surprised at this. Civilization and war are born twins. Recently on Twitter I wrote that one could uncharitably say of civilization that is is merely epiphenomenal of war, or one could say more charitably that war is merely epiphenomenal of civilization. Perhaps each is epiphenomenal of the other, and there is no one, single foundation of organized human activity &#8212; it is simply that large-scale human activity sometimes manifests itself as civilization and sometimes manifests itself as war. </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/jnnielsen/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/signature.jpg?w=300&#038;h=78" alt="signature" width="300" height="78" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.tumblr.com/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/grand-strategy-annex-logo-small.png?w=240&#038;h=96" alt="Grand Strategy Annex" width="240" height="96" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"> </span></p>
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		<title>Another Future: The New Agriculturalism</title>
		<link>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/16/another-future-the-new-agriculturalism/</link>
		<comments>http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/16/another-future-the-new-agriculturalism/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jan 2012 06:00:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>geopolicraticus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Futurism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Historical Periodization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agricultural civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agriculturalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bioregionalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[communism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exterrestrialization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Francis Fukuyama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fukuyama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[futurism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[globalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[locavore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[metaphysical history]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[neo-agriculturalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pastoralization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[philosophy of history]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[singularization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic trend]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/?p=10247</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Monday In Three Futures I considered a trio of possible developments based upon the extrapolation of certain strategic trends already present in the present. These three futures included: ● Extraterrestrialization, in which the greater part of humanity eventually resides off the surface of the earth. ● Pastoralization, in which urbanization and rural depopulation continue their [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=geopolicraticus.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4472138&amp;post=10247&amp;subd=geopolicraticus&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:14pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Monday </strong></span></p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://wideurbanworld.blogspot.com/2011/11/aztec-urban-agriculture.html"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/medieval-urban-garden.jpg?w=460" alt="" title="Medieval Urban Garden"   class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10588" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>n <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/12/21/three-futures/" title="Three Futures"><strong>Three Futures</strong></a> I considered a trio of possible developments based upon the extrapolation of certain strategic trends already present in the present. These three futures included: </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>●</strong> <strong><em>Extraterrestrialization</em></strong>, in which the greater part of humanity eventually resides off the surface of the earth.   </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>●</strong> <strong><em>Pastoralization</em></strong>, in which urbanization and rural depopulation continue their trends with the greater part of humanity residing in cities (already technically true, in so far as more than half of all human populations today are urban populations, but the disproportion is not yet overwhelming) and the countryside is returned to something like pastoralism. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>●</strong> <strong><em>Singularization</em></strong>, in which escalating computer technology transforms the life of the greater part of humanity, or simply displaces it. This scenario is based on Ray Kurzweil&#8217;s <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2009/02/08/singularity-has-no-clothes/" title="The Singularity has no Clothes"><strong>technological singularity</strong></a>, though treated as a process rather than an event (we are, after all, talking about history and not about divine fiat). </span></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>R</strong>ecently in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/13/marxist-eschatology/" title="Marxist Eschatology"><strong>Marxist Eschatology</strong></a> I acknowledged that an old favorite must be added to our list of possible futures:  </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>●</strong> <em><strong>Communism</strong></em>, in which, following the totality of globalization and there being under this global (crony) capitalist regime no alternatives to proletarianism, the workers really <em>do</em> throw the bums out and take over for themselves. </span></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>A</strong>ll three of these potential futures were treated in the spirit of developing strategic trends that could conceivably become the <em>dominant</em> strategic trend of the future, and in so doing define a new division of macro-temporality. In other words, the strategic trend in question is treated as possessing the possibility of becoming a macro-historical trend. I say here &#8220;developing&#8221; and &#8220;possibility&#8221; in order to stress that these strategic trends, even if they do become the dominant trend, will not come about with catastrophic suddenness, as the result of a revolutionary upheaval.   </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>C</strong>entral to my understanding not only of current affairs but also of history, and especially history understand on the grandest scale, is the idea of a <em>strategic trend</em>. A strategic trend is any historical phenomenon that takes on a life of its own. There are major strategic trends that shape macro-history and there are small strategic trends that are little more than fads. The decline of printed newspapers in the wake of the growing importance of the internet is a strategic trend. The refinement of precision munitions is a strategic trend. The collapse of the horse-drawn buggy industry in the wake of automobiles <em>was</em> a strategic trend in the past, but now is irrelevant. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>hinking in terms of strategic trends is a kind of extension and extrapolation of uniformitarianism. If the past is to be interpreted in terms of processes known to be acting in the present (which is uniformitarianism), so too the future can be interpreted in terms of processes known to be acting in the present, or to have acted in the past. The use of uniformitarianism in the physical sciences focuses on physical laws discoverable in the present and applicable to natural events in the past. The use of uniformitarianism in the philosophy of history focuses on patterns of human behavior discoverable in the present or the past, and possible applicable to distinct human societies at any time in history, past, present, or future. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>t was never my intention to present these <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/12/21/three-futures/" title="Three Futures"><strong>Three Futures</strong></a> as exhaustive or as mutually exclusive, and I guess I really ought not to worry too much about it, since no one has commented on this post and suggested that my intention had been misconstrued. In any case, my recent addition of a (revised and reinterpreted) communism should make the non-exclusive character of my original list obvious. In this spirit of identifying strategic trends in the present that may become dominant strategic trends in the future, and in no way committed to an exclusive or closed list, I want to propose another possibility for the long term human future. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>H</strong>uman beings being what they are, there is always the possibility of returning to a past mode of life that proved robust and sustainable. Our long prehistory dominated, as it was, by a cyclical conception of time has deeply inculcated the idea of a &#8220;return to roots&#8221; in almost all human societies. A &#8220;return&#8221; to the agricultural paradigm, following on the experience of industrialization, and therefore transformed by this experience, could constitute a new division of macro-temporality, and this possibility I will call post-industrial agriculturalism, or neo-agriculturalism, or neo-agriculturalization when speaking of an historical process. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong> have written quite a number of posts touching on the nature of settled agricultural civilization. The most significant of these posts include:  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>●  <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/06/03/civilizations-settled-and-unsettled/" title="Civilizations Settled and Unsettled">Civilizations Settled and Unsettled</a> </strong> </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>●  <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/06/18/the-agricultural-paradigm/" title="The Agricultural Paradigm">The Agricultural Paradigm</a> </strong>  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>●  <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/06/20/some-rough-notes-on-agricultural-civilization/" title="Some Rough Notes on Agricultural Civilization">Some Rough Notes on Agricultural Civilization</a> </strong> </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>●  <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/07/03/pure-agriculturalism/" title="Pure Agriculturalism">Pure Agriculturalism</a> </strong> </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>●  <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/07/09/the-telos-of-agriculturalism/" title="The Telos of Agriculturalism">The Telos of Agriculturalism</a> </strong> </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>M</strong>any other posts of mine have touched upon agricultural civilization, but these are the ones with the most meat in them. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he strategic trend of agriculturalism as it reveals itself in the present dates at least to the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Back-to-the-land_movement" target="_blank"><strong>&#8220;back to the land&#8221;</strong></a> movement of the late twentieth century, especially in its counter-culture iteration, and continues to crop up now and again in the popular media. For example, <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15850243" target="_blank"><strong>Japan&#8217;s youth turn to rural areas seeking a slower life</strong></a> by Roland Buerk of BBC News, Tokyo, is a typical expression of this.   </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>n contemporary society we can identify strategic trends that are both a &#8220;pull&#8221; toward agriculturalism and a &#8220;push&#8221; away from industrialism. I have written on many occasions about the <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2010/11/22/folded-spindled-mutilated/"><strong>dehumanization and depersonalization</strong></a> of industrial-technological civilization, and escape from this regime is a recurring theme of popular culture. That is the &#8220;push&#8221; toward the supposedly simpler life of agriculturalism. On the &#8220;pull&#8221; side of the historical equation there is the long tradition of a kind of <em>mysticism of the soil</em>, such that in the event of neo-agriculturalism it might be possible to speak of <em>the re-enchantment of the world</em> (since the disenchantment of the world &#8212; <em>die Entzauberung der Welt</em> &#8212; has been one of the discontents of industrial-technological civilization). </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he contemporary strategic trends of environmentalism and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-globalization" target="_blank"><strong>anti-globalization</strong></a>, while they garner a great deal of press, have not ultimately accomplished much. Environmentalism has changed the way some things are done, but a radical interpretation of environmentalism, the success of which would involve the abandonment of industrial-technological civilization, has made no headway at all. Only the most mild and inoffensive initiatives of environmentalism have had any traction, and certainly nothing that makes the ordinary person uncomfortable or even mildly inconvenienced is countenanced. That being said, the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-globalization" target="_blank"><strong>anti-globalization</strong></a> movement, in so far as it is a &#8220;movement&#8221; at all, has accomplished absolutely nothing except furnishing a pretext for protests and vandalism, which is great fun for a certain segment of society. However, in so far as &#8220;venting&#8221; is important, these protests have served a certain social function.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>D</strong>espite this dismal record, and the likelihood that environmentalism and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-globalization" target="_blank"><strong>anti-globalization</strong></a> as strategic trends are likely to wither away in time as they become either irrelevant (<strong>anti-globalization</strong>) or completely co-opted by the status quo (environmentalism), these strategic trends might gain a new lease on a longer life if they feed into some larger movement that has a chance to fundamentally alter the way in which people live. Such opportunities come along only rarely in history, as I have attempted to argue on many occasions. Neo-agriculturalism would serve this functional quite competently, since environmentalism and anti-globalization could be given content (anti-globalization) and direction (environmentalism) by becoming associated with social change driven by a neo-agriculturist agenda.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>hen we think of a post-industrial agriculturalism in these terms, it becomes obvious that those strategic trends that ultimately become dominant trends that shape the next stage of macro-history are those trends that can be fed by the largest number of minor and middling strategic trend. In this way, a dominant strategic trend that comes to define a division of macro-history. Perhaps in the final analysis, the biggest tent wins. In other words, that strategic trend that can subsume under itself the greatest number of other strategic trend while retaining its essential coherency, may be that strategic trend that comes to dominate all other trends. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>ith this in mind we can identify a number of strategic trends that implicitly feed (or would feed) into neo-agriculturalism: being a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Locavores" target="_blank"><strong>locavore</strong></a>, and in fact the whole local food movement (and, to a lesser extent, the &#8220;slow food&#8221; movement), <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bioregionalism" target="_blank"><strong>bioregionalism</strong></a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eco-Communalism" target="_blank"><strong>eco-communalism</strong></a>, and radical environmental philosophies like <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_Ecology" target="_blank"><strong>deep ecology</strong></a>.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>A</strong>s I noted above, I don&#8217;t intend my identification of possible futures to be exclusive or exhaustive. Thus what I have previously identified as pastoralization could well coexist with neo-agriculturalization. Furthermore, pastoralization could be subsumed under neo-agriculturalization, or vice versa. A little more attention to detail would be needed to order to determine which strategic trend represented that of the greatest generality, therefore likely to subsume other strategic trends under it. However, this being history we are discussing, a certain degree of this determination is left to chance, circumstance, and contingency. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong>t should also be noted that these future scenarios I have been attempting to sketch do, at least to a limited degree, involve a reconsideration of, &#8220;the basic principles underlying our social order,&#8221; and constitute, &#8220;a systematic idea of political and social justice that claimed to supersede liberalism&#8221; &#8212; two conditions that Francis Fukuyama named as necessary to refute his &#8220;end of history&#8221; hypothesis: </span></p>
<p style="padding-left:30px;"><span style="color:#993300;font-size:11pt;font-family:Garamond;">&#8220;At the core of my argument is the observation that a remarkable consensus has developed in the world concerning the legitimacy and viability of liberal democracy. This ideological consensus is neither fully universal nor automatic, but exists to an arguably higher degree than at any time in the past century.&#8221; </span></p>
<p style="padding-left:30px;"><span style="color:#993300;font-size:11pt;font-family:Garamond;">&#8220;In order to refute my hypothesis, then, it is not sufficient to suggest that the future holds in store large and momentous events. One would have to show that these events were driven by a systematic idea of political and social justice that claimed to supersede liberalism. A nuclear war between India and Pakistan &#8211; horrible as that would be for those countries &#8211; does not qualify, unless it somehow forced us to reconsider the basic principles underlying our social order.&#8221; </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Garamond;">Francis Fukuyama, <a href="http://www.wesjones.com/eoh_reply.htm" target="_blank"><strong>&#8220;A Reply to My Critics,&#8221;</strong></a> Fall 1989, The National Interest </span></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>F</strong>or the record, I am interested neither in refuting or defending Fukuyama&#8217;s thesis, but his formulation does provide a certain clarification for what it takes to account for a genuinely novel historical development. I would be willing to state that, &#8220;a systematic idea of political and social justice that claimed to supersede liberalism,&#8221; would be a sufficient condition for the definition of a new division of macro-history, and I would further hold that no such condition has presented itself since Fukuyama&#8217;s essay. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>A</strong>gain, however, we can identify strategic trends in the present that could well constitute a systematic idea of political and social justice that could displace that systematic idea of political and social justice that prevails today. For example, if we consider the idea of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Environmental_justice" target="_blank"><strong>environmental justice</strong></a> we have a conception which if elaborated, extended, and expanded into the future could become an alternative paradigm of political and social justice. Such changes take time and cannot be seen in a single lifetime. Changes of an intellectual order I call <em>metaphysical history</em>, and metaphysical history is the <em>summum genus</em> of historical categories, subsuming even the macro-historical concerns I have been writing about here.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>N</strong>otwithstanding the fact that, if humanity fails to transcend its planet-bound civilization its future will be necessarily finite (or we can also say that any successor species of homo sapiens will necessarily have a finite future), even given a finite future there would be time enough for many macro-historical divisions yet to be determined. One of these macro-historical divisions could well be a post-industrial agriculturalism.  </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
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<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
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<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"> </span></p>
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		<title>Addendum on Marxist Eschatology</title>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Jan 2012 06:00:54 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Intellectual History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strictly Theoretical]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[philosophy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[philosophy of history]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marx]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Karl Marx]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marxism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Popper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Karl Popper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[falsification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[verificationism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[individualism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[crony capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capitalism]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Saturday Yesterday in Marxist Eschatology I wrote: Marx is the greatest exemplar of a perennial tradition of human thought that has been with us from the beginning and which will be with us as long as civilization and human life endures. This tradition wasn’t always called Marxism, and it won’t always be called Marxism, but [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=geopolicraticus.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4472138&amp;post=10576&amp;subd=geopolicraticus&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:14pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Saturday </strong></span></p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/marx_lenin_stalin_mao_castro_all_partying_up_it_communist_style.jpg"><img src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/marx_lenin_stalin_mao_castro_all_partying_up_it_communist_style.jpg?w=460&#038;h=338" alt="" title="marx_lenin_stalin_mao_castro_all_partying_up_it_communist_style" width="460" height="338" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10577" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>Y</strong>esterday in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/2012/01/13/marxist-eschatology/" title="Marxist Eschatology"><strong>Marxist Eschatology</strong></a> I wrote:  </span></p>
<p style="padding-left:30px;"><span style="color:#006600;font-size:11pt;font-family:Garamond;">Marx is the greatest exemplar of a perennial tradition of human thought that has been with us from the beginning and which will be with us as long as civilization and human life endures. This tradition wasn’t always called Marxism, and it won’t always be called Marxism, but the perennial tendency will remain. There will always be individuals who are attracted to the perennial idea that Marx represents, and as of the present time Marx remains the most powerful advocate of these ideas. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>W</strong>hile on my other blog in <a href="http://geopolicraticus.tumblr.com/post/15822763732/marx-and-fukuyama"><strong>Marx and Fukuyama</strong></a> I wrote: </span></p>
<p style="padding-left:30px;"><span style="color:#006600;font-size:11pt;font-family:Garamond;">With Marx, we can identify a “bend in the road” of history at which point Marx might be proved right or wrong. For some people — wrongly to my mind — this point was identified as the end of the Cold War. To my mind, it is the full industrialization of the world’s economy. Thus Marx’s thesis has the virtue of falsification. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>his calls for a little clarification, since if interpreted uncharitably it might be found contradictory for Marxism to be a perennial idea and to be falsifiable, since what distinguishes a perennial idea is that it is not falsifiable &#8212; at least, not in a robust sense of falsification. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>K</strong>arl Popper was the philosopher who formulated falsifiability as a criterion of scientificity (I&#8217;m not certain he was the first, be he has definitely been the most influential in advancing the idea of falsifiability, especially in contradistinction to the logical positivist emphasis on the verifiability criterion), and he discussed Marx at some length. Here&#8217;s nice summary from one of Popper&#8217;s later works: </span></p>
<p style="padding-left:30px;"><span style="color:#993300;font-size:11pt;font-family:Garamond;">&#8220;As I pointed out in my <em>Open Society</em>, one may regard Marx&#8217;s theory as refuted by events that occurred during the Russian Revolution. According to Marx the revolutionary changes start at the bottom, as it were: means of production change first, then social conditions of production, then political power, and ultimately ideological beliefs, which change last. But in the Russian Revolution the political power changed first, and then the ideology (Dictatorship plus Electrification) began to change the social conditions and the means of production from the top. The reinterpretation of Marx&#8217;s theory of revolution to evade this falsification immunized it against further attacks, transforming it into the vulgar-Marxist (or socioanalytic) theory which tells us that the &#8216;economic motive&#8217; and the class struggle pervade social life.&#8221; </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Garamond;">Karl Popper, <em>Unended Quest</em>, &#8220;Early Studies,&#8221; <a href="http://books.google.com/books?id=CxND59gFftMC&amp;pg=PA44&amp;dq=marx+falsifiable+inauthor:karl+inauthor:popper&amp;hl=en&amp;sa=X&amp;ei=aUMST_uQIaeNmQWfmsz-CQ&amp;ved=0CDcQ6AEwAQ#v=onepage&amp;q&amp;f=false" target="_blank"><strong>p. 45</strong></a>  </span></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong> should point out that I agree with Popper&#8217;s arguments, and that Marxism construed in the narrow sense that Popper construed it was falsified by the events of the Russian Revolution. Lenin&#8217;s &#8220;weakest link of capitalism&#8221; theory was instrumental in the reinterpretation of Marxism that Popper mentioned. Beyond Lenin, Mao made even more radical changes by shifting the focus from the industrial proletariat to the agricultural peasant. It is a testament to the extent to which the twentieth century was <em>not</em> fully industrialized that it was Maoism rather than Marxism or Leninism that was the form of communism that reached the masses during the last century. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>H</strong>owever, I think that there is a species of Marxism that lies between Popper&#8217;s narrowly conceived Marxism and the vulgar Marxism reinterpreted in the light of apparent falsification, and this is a Marxism that has been generalized beyond the historically specific conditions of the Russian Revolution, and even beyond the Cold War, which had almost nothing to do with democracy or communism and almost everything to do with national rivalry and the great game of power politics. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>I</strong> have called a generalized Marxism a species of Marxism, and herein lies to clue to the distinction between Marxism and a perennial idea in the strict sense. Marxism (of one variety or another) is a species that falls under the genera of collectivist political thought. The latter &#8212; collectivist political thought &#8212; is a perennial idea, and lies beyond falsification. It is neither true nor false, but an ongoing influence, just like its implied contrary, which is individualist political thought. Individualism also lies beyond falsification, and is neither true nor false but remains an ongoing influence in human affairs.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>M</strong>ost forms of capitalism are individualist in orientation, though not all: oligarchical capitalist societies (like medieval Venice) had little to do with individualism. Thus a generalization of capitalism does not <em>always</em> lead to individualism. A generalization of capitalism, depending on its subtle differences in tone of market activity from one society to another, may lead to individualism, but it may also lead to a profoundly hierarchical crony capitalism, or to some other socio-economic formation.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>S</strong>peaking generally for ideas, and not just communism and capitalism, and indeed not just political and economic ideas but all ideas, the generalization of an historically situated and therefore specific idea usually leads to a perennial idea if the generalization is sufficiently radical. The generalization of capitalism may or may not lead to individualism, but it will eventually lead to some perennial idea which lies beyond falsification, whether that idea is patriarchalism or something else. The generalization of Marxism, I think, leads more directly to a perennial form of collectivist thought, which at its greatest reach of generality is scarcely distinguishable from a vague sentimental connection to others. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>T</strong>he species of Marxism that I have posited &#8212; midway between Marxism narrowly conceived and Marxism generalized to the point of a vague feeling of cooperative common cause &#8212; is falsifiable, but it is not falsifiable by experiment. It is only falsifiable by history. It shares this property with other theses in the philosophy of history. This is one of the fundamental distinctions between the natural sciences and at least some of the historical sciences: theses in <em>some</em> of the historical sciences <em>are</em> falsifiable, but they are <em>not</em> falsifiable on demand. One can only wait and see if they are eventually falsified. With the passage of time the inductive evidence of an unfalsifiable thesis in the philosophy of history increases, but is never confirmed. Thus the philosophy of history, contrary to most expectations, is the most science-like of the branches of philosophy.  </span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.wordpress.com/jnnielsen/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/signature.jpg?w=300&#038;h=78" alt="signature" width="300" height="78" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Garamond;"><strong>. . . . .</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://geopolicraticus.tumblr.com/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1531 aligncenter" title="signature" src="http://geopolicraticus.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/grand-strategy-annex-logo-small.png?w=240&#038;h=96" alt="Grand Strategy Annex" width="240" height="96" /></a></p>
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